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Episodes · 12 months
18
Nov 2025–Oct 2026peak share, Feb 2026
Share of analysed episodes per month, Nov 2025 to Oct 2026: 1 of 3,584, 3 of 3,862, 1 of 4,115, 4 of 4,226, 2 of 4,731, 2 of 4,438, 1 of 4,230, 2 of 4,319, 2 of 4,515, 0 of 4,419, 0 of 4,624, 0 of 4,594.
All time
23
+7 via 7 narrower
On record
21
took a position
Where they standLast discussed
3mo ago
Jul 19, 2026
Where they stand
Camps of opinion · 2Positions people took on this topic in transcripts, grouped by school of thought. The bar shows each camp's share of the people sorted into a camp. It is not a poll and not a share of any audience, and people whose position fit no camp are left out of it. Within a camp, people with demonstrated expertise on the topic come first, then those who reached the most listeners on it. Positions are extracted from transcripts by a model and may misattribute who said what. Every quote links to the episode it came from.
Share of people placed in a camp18 people
50%
50%
- Utilize markets for information9 people · 50%
- Limit societal and ethical risks9 people · 50%
Utilize markets for information
Prediction markets provide valuable insights, accurate economic signals, and effective tools for forecasting and risk management.
9 people · 6 episodes
Prediction markets are essential for generating accurate economic signals and are more effective at price discovery than existing alternatives.
“it was very simple. You read it. Thomas It seems like I would say you had the opinion, you had a guess, but the you know, the tail of the paper is that this is the most accurate gauge we have as the highest economic authority on the planet to what's going on, what's going to happen with the economy”
Bloomberg Podcasts · Mar 2026 · 0 episodes · 0 views on this topic
Prediction markets can benefit society by uncovering the truth faster if their incentives help bypass traditional obstacles to information.
“There are a certain percentage of these prediction markets that are about the well functioning of society and the use of inside information gets to the truth faster and I think that has value especially if it uncovers corruption or misdeeds”
The All-In Podcast · Feb 2026 · 4 episodes · 1.3M views on this topic
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are trustworthy alternatives to traditional polls, which politicians dislike because they prefer to rely on manipulative polling data.
“Because people trust Kalshi and Polymarket than they trust polls and they don't want that because they they they want to use that manipulative card that they had for many years.”
PBD Podcast · Jun 2026 · 2 episodes · 767K views on this topicLimit societal and ethical risks
Prediction markets are dangerous, manipulative, or unethical platforms that encourage gambling, surveillance, and harmful social outcomes.
9 people · 6 episodes
WW
Polymarket is a weaponized platform serving as a privatized, surveillance-oriented project designed to manipulate media narratives and undermine dissent.
“So basically the goal of this was to create a surveillance dragnet, and all these different programs, including the Policy Analysis Market, would feed the information, predictive information, and all this other data into the jewel in the crown of this office, and that program was called Total Inform”
The Jimmy Dore Show · Jul 2026 · 2 episodes · 180K views on this topicMG
Mark GoodwinUnrated
Modern prediction markets were created by taking DARPA projects, which were originally developed for surveillance and public policy, and transitioning them into the private sector.
“this kind of general idea of a lot of these ideas started within the Pentagon and and at you know sort of military contractors and it slowly went from being like direct you know government public officials to then government contractors to then you know the CIA starting a a venture firm and basicall”
The Jimmy Dore Show · Jul 2026 · 2 episodes · 180K views on this topicMW
Polymarket is a manufactured, centralized tool that masks its true origins and purpose through an appealing but deceptive narrative of a plucky, young entrepreneur.
“it's obviously just a front and you know, they try to claim that this kid is just, you know, this random guy who had this great idea. And it's not that.”
The Jimmy Dore Show · Jul 2026 · 2 episodes · 180K views on this topicExtracted by a model; may misattribute who said what.
In the transcripts
Episodes discussing this topicIncludes episodes tagged with a narrower subject. Each is marked with the subject it came in through.
Polymarket’s SHADY Israel-Connected History! Trump Announces His Own #CHINAGATE Hoax! w/Whitney Webb
100%
55%
Showing 10 of 30
Over time
Share of episodesThis topic's episodes as a share of every episode we analysed, in each complete month. We analyse more episodes every month, so a raw count would mostly show that growth. Recent months fill in as transcripts are analysed.
Complete months · first on record Oct 2022