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Topic
Bayesian Reasoning
- Episodes
- 2
- Communities
- 3
Over time
Mentions over time
Monthly episodes discussing this topic, 2026-01 to 2026-02.
Where they stand
Talking points
Not enough disagreement in the transcripts to form camps. These are the positions taken by people with demonstrated expertise on this topic first, then by how many people heard them on it, then by VoiceRank.
Bayesian reasoning involves assigning probabilities between one and 99% to claims and updating those beliefs as new evidence becomes available.
“by basian I mean you assign a probability of something being true with a small t between one and 99%. So never assign a zero or or 100% to anything because we're fallible.”
The Rubin Report · Jan 2026 · 1 episode · 28K views on this topicAE
A rational agent in a disagreement should defer to their past self's judgment about how likely they are to be the one who is correct.
“my feeling is you should defer to that person.”
Sean Carroll · Feb 2026 · 1 episode · 16K views on this topicPositions are extracted from transcripts by a model and may misattribute who said what. Every quote links to the episode it came from.
Related
Related topics · 8
In the transcripts
