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Nov 24, 2025
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The 2045 Superintelligence Timeline: Epoch AI’s Data-Driven Forecast
a16z·Nov 24, 2025
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Where they standWhere they stand
Talking pointsNot enough disagreement in the transcripts to form camps. These are the positions taken by people with demonstrated expertise on this topic first, then by how many people heard them on it, then by VoiceRank. Positions are extracted from transcripts by a model and may misattribute who said what. Every quote links to the episode it came from.
YE
The speaker estimates that over the next decade, AI will likely automate at least 10% of currently existing jobs.
“I honestly I'd be surprised if it's not 10% um of the jobs that exist now.”
a16z · Nov 2025 · 1 episode · 7K views on this topicExtracted by a model; may misattribute who said what.
In the transcripts