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Episode
Election Betting Markets Explained | Glenn Loury & Rajiv Sethi | The Glenn Show
Views
3K
0.1× the show’s average
Episode3K
Show avg51K
Published
23mo ago
Nov 1, 2024
Length
1h 08m
show avg 1h 04m
From the show
Chapters
Support The Glenn Show at https://glennloury.substack.com Order Glenn's memoir, LATE ADMISSIONS: CONFESSIONS OF A BLACK CONSERVATIVE. Available here or wherever you get your books: https://wwnorton.com/books/9780393881349 Glenn Loury (Brown University, Manhattan Institute, Late Admissions) and Rajiv Sethi (Barnard, rajivsethi.substack.com). Recorded October 27, 2024.
- 0:00Rajiv’s report from the FIRE conference
- 4:09Roland Fryer’s keynote address
- 14:24Ta-Nehisi Coates’s humanist universalism
- 18:23“Tolstoy is the Tolstoy of the Zulus”
- 19:48Rajiv’s reading of Coates’s stand on “apartheid”
- 32:53The gap between election forecasting models and prediction markets
- 37:50The limits of models and markets
- 40:57Rajiv: The markets show us a balance between narratives about the election
- 45:15Is one crypto trader manipulating the prediction markets in favor of Trump?
- 54:10Rajiv: Prediction markets may have sent early signals about January 6
- 56:17Rajiv’s family history with Kamala Harris
- 58:43The new prominence of Indian Americans in politics
Mentioned
Names dropped
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