Beliefs are largely dictated by social incentives rather than a consistent rational formulation, as there is often little reward for being factually correct in the public sphere.

“Well, I feel strongly about all of this [ __ ] that's why I wrote it down, okay? Uh, people rarely apply a consistent rational formulation for whatever their beliefs are. This is not because people are stupid or lack the ability to do so, but rather because there's little to no incentive for doing s”