Monthly episodes discussing this topic, 2024-01 to 2026-04.
Positions people took on this topic in transcripts, grouped by school of thought. Within a camp, people with demonstrated expertise on the topic come first, then those who reached the most listeners on it. Every quote links to the episode it came from.
The national polling averages accurately show that the current election is a tight contest between the candidates.
3 people · 3 episodes
Amy Walter claims that while there is some fluctuation in the data, the national polling averages for the presidential race have remained largely consistent and indicate a very close contest.
“I dug into this myself because I I I always wonder all right how much of this is real and how much of this is just sort of a mood that's not backed up by actual data and so if you look at the national average like things haven't moved that much”
Pod Save America · Oct 2024 · 1 episode · 339K views on this topicShe acknowledges the polling indicates the race is currently a dead heat.
“just a couple of weeks ago we were in a dead heat in the race”
Pod Save America · Sep 2024 · 1 episode · 265K views on this topicLynn Vavreck claims that recent shifts in polls reflect a return to a close race rather than a departure from political calcification.
“So we're back to man this is going to be a close race”
Pod Save America · Aug 2024 · 1 episode · 259K views on this topicPollsters are producing skewed or manipulated data to influence public perception or avoid criticism rather than reporting accurately.
3 people · 3 episodes
Pollsters have recently exhibited a tendency to produce more Republican-leaning results in an effort to avoid the criticism of being wrong.
“basically poers are terrified of being wrong so they're flat out ignoring very blue results as a result pulsers are more willing to take steps to produce more Republican leaning results”
HasanAbi · Nov 2024 · 2 episodes · 538K views on this topicPollsters frequently suppressed or manipulated data to manufacture a false narrative of a Kamala Harris lead due to ideological bias.
“We've been putting out for weeks and weeks and weeks that the race was two points and everybody measures their own accuracy with their final call. But we were all alone in August and September when the pollsters were at peak lying peak psychological operation to create a fake lead for Kamala Harris.”
StevenCrowder · Nov 2024 · 1 episode · 223K views on this topicPublic polls are currently being corrupted by a wave of bad, non-credible polls produced by partisan groups attempting to manipulate the public narrative.
“the polls are there are good polls out there but right now they are being corrupted by a wave of bad polls and by that I mean as I've talked about before different campaigns try to use polls to change the public narrative about their campaigns and there has been between 20 and 25 new polling compani”
Heather Cox Richardson · Oct 2024 · 1 episode · 57K views on this topicPositions are extracted from transcripts by a model and may misattribute who said what. Every quote links to the episode it came from.
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